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During the era of sustainable transition (2036–2045), the energy system becomes increasingly multi-technology, decentralised and integrated; the circular economy strengthens the sustainable foundation of the economy alongside primary production; and ecological sustainability, fairness and social acceptability become even more prominent. During this phase, new technologies are deployed, including carbon capture, utilisation and storage, as well as operating models to achieve carbon negativity in an ecologically sustainable and socially acceptable manner.

Infographic describing the Era of sustainable transition (2036–2045) in the transition to a secure and sustainable energy system. A winding pathway from 2036 to 2045 illustrates progress through the transition, while the top of the graphic shows the broader climate pathway from towards carbon neutrality, to carbon negativity is achieved, and carbon negativity strengthens. The infographic is organised into three sections: Why? Large-scale deployment of sustainable new technologies, systems and operating models is required. What? The goal is a multi-technology energy system with sector coupling and smart grids, greater energy and raw material self-sufficiency, moderated consumption, and a fair distribution of responsibilities with broad social acceptability. How? The transition is supported through carbon dioxide utilisation and removal, investment in nuclear power (including small modular reactors), energy storage and other flexibility solutions alongside renewable energy, minimisation and compensation of adverse impacts, and sustainable production methods with increased circular use of materials. The roadmap emphasises that evidence-based knowledge and impact assessments underpin decision-making throughout the transition. The expected outcome is that ecological sustainability, justice and energy security are strengthened.

Why is change needed?

What is the aim of the change?

How is the change implemented?

Fictive future news: Electricity bills have fallen – Smart home energy has transformed daily life

Everyday Life & Energy Tampere, 12 May 2038

Many households are now saving hundreds of euros per year without having to significantly change their daily routines.

Electricity bills in Finland have declined markedly in recent years as homes have evolved into intelligent energy service hubs. Automated systems manage heating, electricity use and storage in real time based on weather data, market prices and the routines of residents.

“I no longer think about when it makes sense to use electricity – the system takes care of that for me. And the bill is still lower,” says a resident of Tampere.

Local energy applications complement automation by displaying the load status of the local grid and offering simple suggestions for scheduling consumption.

“Move your laundry to the evening – save money and balance the load,” the application indicates during peak periods.

An energy diary used in homes makes savings visible. It shows how automation and residents’ choices together have smoothed consumption peaks, reduced carbon footprints and lowered costs.

–The biggest change is that consumption is optimised without the user having to do much at all – and costs still decline, an expert notes.

Fictive future news

The roadmap includes fictive future news that illustrate the key messages by describing possible future scenarios at different stages of the transition. These scenarios help make the roadmap’s implications more concrete and provide examples of how a sustainable energy future could unfold over time.

Sampo Soimakallio

Development Manager, Finnish Environment Institute

sampo.soimakallio@syke.fi

+358 295 251 803

Funded by the European Union – NextGenerationEU. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or European Commission. Neither the European Union nor the European Commission can be held responsible for them.